May 7
Adv. US History
Focus:
Cold War
CW:
reading: your guide to North Korea
video: North Korea
notes: Cold War at Home
HW:
Text pp. 804-07
posted by Mr. Carlisle at 8:02 AM
Wednesday, May 07, 2008
Focus:
Cold War
CW:
reading: your guide to North Korea
video: North Korea
notes: Cold War at Home
HW:
Text pp. 804-07
About Me
- Name: Mr. Carlisle
- Location: Portland, Oregon, United States
I'm a native South Carolinian and I attained my undergraduate and graduate degrees from the University of South Carolina. I taught fourth grade for two years in the Mississippi Delta and two years at an alternative high school in Western North Carolina. I have been at Tigard High School since the fall of 2003, where I teach U.S. History and Psychology.
Previous Posts
- Nuclear bomb in NYC
- May 6
- Hiroshima
- May 5
- GO IB STUDENTS, GO!
- I love live TV
- May 2
- May 1
- April 30
- April 29
3 Comments:
After look at a lot of projections, and the math, I've come to the following conclusions about the Democratic Primary race:
It's over, Obama has captured the nomination.
There are only 217 pledged delegates left in the race, but around 280 superdelegates remain uncommitted. Even if Clinton wins the remaining 6 contests 65%-35% (a margin we have yet to see), Obama will only need 40% of the remaining superdelegates to win the nomination. The math gets even easer if you give him the states he is likely to win (Oregon, South Dakota, and Montana) with a 55%-45% margin, while giving Clinton the other 3 (West Virginia, Kentucky, Puerto Rico) 55%-45% (a much more realistic scenario). Then he only needs 25% of the superdelegates, 68, to win the nomination.
The reality is starting to set in, even for Clinton supporters. 1972 Democratic Presidential candidate, George McGovern, a long time Clinton supporter, switched his support to Obama today. Though he is not a superdelegate, he is still the first major supporter of hers to switch camps. And I doubt he will be the last.
She says that she wants all the primaries to finish up first, but as we get closer to the end of the season, the pressure on her to leave graciously will continue to mount.
12:46 PM
Great analysis as always Casey. You better major in Poli Sci in college.
3:09 PM
I'm thinking about it, I've certainly added it to my list of possibilities. So far I have Computer Science, Computer Programming, US History, Math, and now Political Science.
8:29 PM
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