Kentucky to Likely GOP (previously Safe GOP) Maine to Likely Dem (previously Safe Dem) Montana to Lean GOP (previously Likely GOP) South Carolina to Likely GOP (previously Safe GOP)
No changes in the electoral count today, which this late in can only hurt McCain and help Obama.
Most people have probably noticed that the number of solidly red "Safe GOP" states has been dwindling recently. It's worth noting that the only way FiveThirtyEight will mark a state as "Safe" is if its formulas give a candidate a 95% or greater of winning the state. With such a high mark to be considered "Safe" it's not at all unusual to see some states lose that status a few times.
For example, Texas is considered only "Likely GOP", but FiveThirtyEight's projections give McCain a 90% chance of winning the state. So you really need to check FiveThirtyEight's polling tables for that state to get an idea of what kind of "Likely" it is. I only do this map to give people a quick snapshot at the polling data, not to replace studying it. In this map it's better to not pay attention so much to how "Safe" a state is at any one time, but rather to look at the previously maps and try to notice trends in it.
For the test tomorrow, would it be ok to talk about the psychoanalytic approach and maybe say that a child saw his parents party a lot as a kid and made him associate alcohol with having fun? Then, after that mention that he grew up to be an alcoholic because of it? Would it be ok to create a story like this to help make my point?
You can make up a story like that, however, what you described would work for the behavorial approach. Drinking is reinforced. Think about that and go with it.
This idea sounds just crazy enough to possibly work, so naturally it won't be given serious consideration. How great is our bureaucracy!!
I'm against the $85,000,000,000.00 bailout of AIG.
Instead, I'm in favor of giving $85,000,000,000 to America in a We Deserve It Dividend.
To make the math simple, let's assume there are 200,000,000 bonafide U.S. Citizens 18+.
Our population is about 301,000,000 +/- counting every man, woman and child. So 200,000,000 might be a fair stab at adults 18 and up..
So divide 200 million adults 18+ into $85 billion that equals $425,000.00.
My plan is to give $425,000 to every person 18+ as a We Deserve It Dividend.
Of course, it would NOT be tax free.
So let's assume a tax rate of 30%.
Every individual 18+ has to pay $127,500.00 in taxes.
That sends $25,500,000,000 right back to Uncle Sam.
But it means that every adult 18+ has $297,500.00 in their pocket.
A husband and wife has $595,000.00.
What would you do with $297,500.00 to $595,000.00 in your family?
Pay off your mortgage - housing crisis solved.
Repay college loans - what a great boost to new grads
Put away money for college - it'll be there
Save in a bank - create money to loan to entrepreneurs.
Buy a new car - create jobs
Invest in the market - capi tal drives growth
Pay for your parent's medical insurance - health care improves
Enable Deadbeat Dads to come clean - or else
Remember this is for every adult U S Citizen 18+ including the folks who lost their jobs at Lehman Brothers and every other company that is cutting back. And of course, for those serving in our Armed Forces.
If we're going to re-distribute wealth let's really do it...instead of trickling out a puny $1000.00 ( 'vote buy' ) economic incentive that is being proposed By one of our candidates for President.
If we're going to do an $85 billion bailout, let's bail out every adult U S Citizen 18+!
As for AIG - liquidate it.
Sell off its parts.
Let American General go back to being American General.
Sell off the real estate.
Let the private sector bargain hunters cut it up and clean it up.
Here's my r ationale. We deserve it and AIG doesn't.
Sure it's a crazy idea that can 'never work.'
But can you imagine the Coast-To-Coast Block Party!
How do you spell Economic Boom?
I trust my fellow adult Americans to know how to use the $85 Billion
We Deserve It Dividend more than I do the geniuses at AIG or in Washington DC
And remember, The Birk plan only really costs $59.5 Billion because $25.5 Billion is returned instantly in taxes to Uncle Sam.
Ahhh...I feel so much better getting that off my chest.
Kindest personal regards,
David English Former IB History of the Americas and Advanced US History.
This idea sounds just crazy enough to possibly work, so naturally it won't be given serious consideration. How great is our bureaucracy!! .....................CHAR
I'm against the $85,000,000,000.00 bailout of AIG.
Instead, I'm in favor of giving $85,000,000,000 to America in a We Deserve It Dividend.
To make the math simple, let's assume there are 200,000,000 bonafide U.S. Citizens 18+.
Our population is about 301,000,000 +/- counting every man, woman and child. So 200,000,000 might be a fair stab at adults 18 and up..
So divide 200 million adults 18+ into $85 billion that equals $425,000.00.
My plan is to give $425,000 to every person 18+ as a We Deserve It Dividend.
Of course, it would NOT be tax free.
So let's assume a tax rate of 30%.
Every individual 18+ has to pay $127,500.00 in taxes.
That sends $25,500,000,000 right back to Uncle Sam.
But it means that every adult 18+ has $297,500.00 in their pocket.
A husband and wife has $595,000.00.
What would you do with $297,500.00 to $595,000.00 in your family?
Pay off your mortgage - housing crisis solved.
Repay college loans - what a great boost to new grads
Put away money for college - it'll be there
Save in a bank - create money to loan to entrepreneurs.
Buy a new car - create jobs
Invest in the market - capi tal drives growth
Pay for your parent's medical insurance - health care improves
Enable Deadbeat Dads to come clean - or else
Remember this is for every adult U S Citizen 18+ including the folks who lost their jobs at Lehman Brothers and every other company that is cutting back. And of course, for those serving in our Armed Forces.
If we're going to re-distribute wealth let's really do it...instead of trickling out a puny $1000.00 ( 'vote buy' ) economic incentive that is being proposed By one of our candidates for President.
If we're going to do an $85 billion bailout, let's bail out every adult U S Citizen 18+!
As for AIG - liquidate it.
Sell off its parts.
Let American General go back to being American General.
Sell off the real estate.
Let the private sector bargain hunters cut it up and clean it up.
Here's my r ationale. We deserve it and AIG doesn't.
Sure it's a crazy idea that can 'never work.'
But can you imagine the Coast-To-Coast Block Party!
How do you spell Economic Boom?
I trust my fellow adult Americans to know how to use the $85 Billion
We Deserve It Dividend more than I do the geniuses at AIG or in Washington DC
And remember, The Birk plan only really costs $59.5 Billion because $25.5 Billion is returned instantly in taxes to Uncle Sam.
Ahhh...I feel so much better getting that off my chest.
Kindest personal regards,
David English Former IB History of the Americas and Advanced US History.
*Notes the fact that insurance isn't mentioned at all*
Still doesn't change the fact that the bailout of AIG kept the insurance market from collapsing, which pretty much would have led to a depression if it had happened.
If a person saw their parents drinking excessively and believed it was normal behavior, could you make the argument for the cognitive approach that this environment influenced the kids behavior and caused him to become an alcoholic later in life? I just want to clarify to make sure I'm not getting this confused with behavioral approach.
If the environment is involved then we're back to behavioralism once again. The cognitive approach deals with how we process and store information. Think about the PERCEPTION of drinking...Good night.
I've been looking at a lot of sources, and apparently the average American family size is about 3 people and some change. So that's 2 parents, 1 child. 2 thirds of America is supposedly adults.
Lets say you're the average American family. About 56 percent of students attend four-year schools with annual tuition and fees below $9,000. So, you'll rack up about $36,000 for the low end. I happen to know that my Dad took out a $50,000 loan for law school, and that was about 20 years ago. So maybe now it could be around $75,000. What will we call average? Well, most certainly not everyone has an occupation requiring extensive education. Let's average about $40,000. So for a man and wife, $80,000. That leaves $515,000 in a normal couple by David's projections.
In Oregon the median asking price for houses on the market is about $140,000. For this price you could get a respectable sized home for a new couple, who might not be able to provide a downpayment. You now have $375,000.
A $10-15,000 car is more than sufficient for someone who needs to get to point A to point B with good gas miliage and power windows. $360,000.
With this money you could make some serious investments, and put away a good deal for further education for either your child or yourself. A solid savings account would be in order, and go ahead and reconsider that trip to Hawaii you had planned.
Well done, David. A few holes, but if it were that simple, it'd be great.
I'm a native South Carolinian and I attained my undergraduate and graduate degrees from the University of South Carolina. I taught fourth grade for two years in the Mississippi Delta and two years at an alternative high school in Western North Carolina. I have been at Tigard High School since the fall of 2003, where I teach U.S. History and Psychology.
19 Comments:
Oh dang. That was funny. I miss watching the Simpsons. It was my favorite show of all time.
poor homer.
4:33 PM
Im republican and i think this is hilarious.
4:41 PM
My fellow bloggers if you have seen The Dark Knight here is a mildly funny video I saw on the youtube homepage. It is called the dark bailout.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R1X6RQLZtoA&feature=bz301
5:26 PM
Haha that was great. And thats how Bush won in Ohio. But this is an Obama year. Get ready for change.
5:42 PM
Updated Electoral Map
Changes from yesterday:
Kentucky to Likely GOP (previously Safe GOP)
Maine to Likely Dem (previously Safe Dem)
Montana to Lean GOP (previously Likely GOP)
South Carolina to Likely GOP (previously Safe GOP)
No changes in the electoral count today, which this late in can only hurt McCain and help Obama.
Most people have probably noticed that the number of solidly red "Safe GOP" states has been dwindling recently. It's worth noting that the only way FiveThirtyEight will mark a state as "Safe" is if its formulas give a candidate a 95% or greater of winning the state. With such a high mark to be considered "Safe" it's not at all unusual to see some states lose that status a few times.
For example, Texas is considered only "Likely GOP", but FiveThirtyEight's projections give McCain a 90% chance of winning the state. So you really need to check FiveThirtyEight's polling tables for that state to get an idea of what kind of "Likely" it is. I only do this map to give people a quick snapshot at the polling data, not to replace studying it. In this map it's better to not pay attention so much to how "Safe" a state is at any one time, but rather to look at the previously maps and try to notice trends in it.
6:00 PM
ahhh! such youtube clips bring back fond old memories!
7:10 PM
For the test tomorrow, would it be ok to talk about the psychoanalytic approach and maybe say that a child saw his parents party a lot as a kid and made him associate alcohol with having fun? Then, after that mention that he grew up to be an alcoholic because of it? Would it be ok to create a story like this to help make my point?
7:17 PM
Max,
You can make up a story like that, however, what you described would work for the behavorial approach. Drinking is reinforced. Think about that and go with it.
7:25 PM
This idea sounds just crazy enough to possibly work, so naturally it won't be given serious consideration. How great is our bureaucracy!!
I'm against the $85,000,000,000.00 bailout of AIG.
Instead, I'm in favor of giving $85,000,000,000 to America in a We Deserve It Dividend.
To make the math simple, let's assume there are 200,000,000 bonafide U.S. Citizens 18+.
Our population is about 301,000,000 +/- counting every man, woman and child. So 200,000,000 might be a fair stab at adults 18 and up..
So divide 200 million adults 18+ into $85 billion that equals $425,000.00.
My plan is to give $425,000 to every person 18+ as a We Deserve It Dividend.
Of course, it would NOT be tax free.
So let's assume a tax rate of 30%.
Every individual 18+ has to pay $127,500.00 in taxes.
That sends $25,500,000,000 right back to Uncle Sam.
But it means that every adult 18+ has $297,500.00 in their pocket.
A husband and wife has $595,000.00.
What would you do with $297,500.00 to $595,000.00 in your family?
Pay off your mortgage - housing crisis solved.
Repay college loans - what a great boost to new grads
Put away money for college - it'll be there
Save in a bank - create money to loan to entrepreneurs.
Buy a new car - create jobs
Invest in the market - capi tal drives growth
Pay for your parent's medical insurance - health care improves
Enable Deadbeat Dads to come clean - or else
Remember this is for every adult U S Citizen 18+ including the folks who lost their jobs at Lehman Brothers and every other company that is cutting back. And of course, for those serving in our Armed Forces.
If we're going to re-distribute wealth let's really do it...instead of trickling out a puny $1000.00 ( 'vote buy' ) economic incentive that is being proposed
By one of our candidates for President.
If we're going to do an $85 billion bailout, let's bail out every adult U S Citizen 18+!
As for AIG - liquidate it.
Sell off its parts.
Let American General go back to being American General.
Sell off the real estate.
Let the private sector bargain hunters cut it up and clean it up.
Here's my r ationale. We deserve it and AIG doesn't.
Sure it's a crazy idea that can 'never work.'
But can you imagine the Coast-To-Coast Block Party!
How do you spell Economic Boom?
I trust my fellow adult Americans to know how to use the $85 Billion
We Deserve It Dividend more than I do the geniuses at AIG or in Washington DC
And remember, The Birk plan only really costs $59.5 Billion because $25.5 Billion is returned instantly in taxes to Uncle Sam.
Ahhh...I feel so much better getting that off my chest.
Kindest personal regards,
David English
Former IB History of the Americas and Advanced US History.
8:17 PM
This idea sounds just crazy enough to possibly work, so naturally it won't be given serious consideration. How great is our bureaucracy!! .....................CHAR
I'm against the $85,000,000,000.00 bailout of AIG.
Instead, I'm in favor of giving $85,000,000,000 to America in a We Deserve It Dividend.
To make the math simple, let's assume there are 200,000,000 bonafide U.S. Citizens 18+.
Our population is about 301,000,000 +/- counting every man, woman and child. So 200,000,000 might be a fair stab at adults 18 and up..
So divide 200 million adults 18+ into $85 billion that equals $425,000.00.
My plan is to give $425,000 to every person 18+ as a We Deserve It Dividend.
Of course, it would NOT be tax free.
So let's assume a tax rate of 30%.
Every individual 18+ has to pay $127,500.00 in taxes.
That sends $25,500,000,000 right back to Uncle Sam.
But it means that every adult 18+ has $297,500.00 in their pocket.
A husband and wife has $595,000.00.
What would you do with $297,500.00 to $595,000.00 in your family?
Pay off your mortgage - housing crisis solved.
Repay college loans - what a great boost to new grads
Put away money for college - it'll be there
Save in a bank - create money to loan to entrepreneurs.
Buy a new car - create jobs
Invest in the market - capi tal drives growth
Pay for your parent's medical insurance - health care improves
Enable Deadbeat Dads to come clean - or else
Remember this is for every adult U S Citizen 18+ including the folks who lost their jobs at Lehman Brothers and every other company that is cutting back. And of course, for those serving in our Armed Forces.
If we're going to re-distribute wealth let's really do it...instead of trickling out a puny $1000.00 ( 'vote buy' ) economic incentive that is being proposed
By one of our candidates for President.
If we're going to do an $85 billion bailout, let's bail out every adult U S Citizen 18+!
As for AIG - liquidate it.
Sell off its parts.
Let American General go back to being American General.
Sell off the real estate.
Let the private sector bargain hunters cut it up and clean it up.
Here's my r ationale. We deserve it and AIG doesn't.
Sure it's a crazy idea that can 'never work.'
But can you imagine the Coast-To-Coast Block Party!
How do you spell Economic Boom?
I trust my fellow adult Americans to know how to use the $85 Billion
We Deserve It Dividend more than I do the geniuses at AIG or in Washington DC
And remember, The Birk plan only really costs $59.5 Billion because $25.5 Billion is returned instantly in taxes to Uncle Sam.
Ahhh...I feel so much better getting that off my chest.
Kindest personal regards,
David English
Former IB History of the Americas and Advanced US History.
8:18 PM
*Notes the fact that insurance isn't mentioned at all*
Still doesn't change the fact that the bailout of AIG kept the insurance market from collapsing, which pretty much would have led to a depression if it had happened.
9:01 PM
If a person saw their parents drinking excessively and believed it was normal behavior, could you make the argument for the cognitive approach that this environment influenced the kids behavior and caused him to become an alcoholic later in life? I just want to clarify to make sure I'm not getting this confused with behavioral approach.
9:58 PM
Max,
If the environment is involved then we're back to behavioralism once again. The cognitive approach deals with how we process and store information. Think about the PERCEPTION of drinking...Good night.
10:01 PM
I'm not a big Simpsons fan, but that was pretty funny.
"Maybe in Ohio, but not in America!" Good times...
6:32 AM
This comment has been removed by the author.
9:08 AM
I didn’t know Springfield was in Florida
9:11 AM
I've been looking at a lot of sources, and apparently the average American family size is about 3 people and some change. So that's 2 parents, 1 child. 2 thirds of America is supposedly adults.
Lets say you're the average American family. About 56 percent of students attend four-year schools with annual tuition and fees below $9,000. So, you'll rack up about $36,000 for the low end. I happen to know that my Dad took out a $50,000 loan for law school, and that was about 20 years ago. So maybe now it could be around $75,000. What will we call average? Well, most certainly not everyone has an occupation requiring extensive education. Let's average about $40,000. So for a man and wife, $80,000. That leaves $515,000 in a normal couple by David's projections.
In Oregon the median asking price for houses on the market is about $140,000. For this price you could get a respectable sized home for a new couple, who might not be able to provide a downpayment. You now have $375,000.
A $10-15,000 car is more than sufficient for someone who needs to get to point A to point B with good gas miliage and power windows. $360,000.
With this money you could make some serious investments, and put away a good deal for further education for either your child or yourself. A solid savings account would be in order, and go ahead and reconsider that trip to Hawaii you had planned.
Well done, David. A few holes, but if it were that simple, it'd be great.
4:02 PM
Carlisle you would. Only explains more about you.
3:22 PM
wow
i found a link to phobia's btw
http://phobialist.com/#A-
1:18 PM
Post a Comment
<< Home